Skip to content

European World Cup Qualifiers Group E Predictions | Georgia vs Turkey & Bulgaria vs Spain Analysis

Georgia vs Turkey Preview 

This clash feels like a potential banana skin for Turkey. On paper, they’ve got the stronger squad, but Georgia have been quietly improving in recent years, especially at home. 

Guler stared last time they met in a 3-1 win

Recent Form & Key Stats 

  • Georgia: 2 wins from their last 5 in all competitions. Scored in 4 of those games, showing attacking consistency. 
  • Turkey: Mixed results recently—3 wins, 2 losses in their last 5. They’ve conceded in 4 of those, showing defensive vulnerability. 
  • Head-to-head: Turkey usually edge Georgia, but the matches are often tight. 

Tactical Breakdown 

  • Georgia rely heavily on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, their Napoli winger, to create chances. Expect them to sit deep, hit on the counter, and use his pace in transition. 
  • Turkey will dominate possession with midfielders like Hakan Çalhanoğlu pulling strings. The question is whether they can break down Georgia’s defensive block without overcommitting. 

Betting Insights 

  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Georgia have scored in 4 of their last 5; Turkey in all of their last 5. BTTS looks promising. 
  • Over 2.5 goals: 3 of Turkey’s last 5 have gone over. Georgia games trend under, so riskier. 
  • Best Value: BTTS at around 1.80–1.90 odds feels stronger than chasing the overs. 

Predicted Score: Georgia 1–2 Turkey 

I see Turkey edging it late, but Georgia should get on the scoresheet. 

Bulgaria vs Spain Preview 

This one looks far more straightforward on paper. Spain are heavy favorites, while Bulgaria have been struggling for years at international level. 

Bulgaria will be praying for a miracle victory when the host Spain

Recent Form & Key Stats

  • Bulgaria: No wins in their last 7. They’ve managed just 3 goals across those matches.

  • Spain: 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding only 2. Their machine-like control in possession has returned under Luis de la Fuente.

  • Head-to-head: Spain have dominated historically, winning comfortably in recent meetings.

Tactical Breakdown

  • Bulgaria will likely sit in a low block, defending deep and hoping for a set-piece opportunity. Their lack of firepower makes an upset feel unlikely.

  • Spain should dominate possession, with Pedri and Rodri dictating tempo. Wide players like Lamine Yamal or Ferran Torres will stretch the pitch and open Bulgaria up.

Betting Insights

  • Spain to Win to Nil: Strong value given Bulgaria’s lack of attacking threat. Around 1.70 odds.

  • Handicap Betting (-1.5 Spain): Spain have covered this in 3 of their last 5 games.

  • Over 2.5 goals: Depends if Bulgaria collapse early. Spain sometimes take their foot off the gas after 2–0.

Predicted Score: Bulgaria 0–3 Spain

Spain’s control and Bulgaria’s struggles suggest a professional, comfortable win without much drama.

Group E Implications

  • A Turkey win would keep them firmly in the race for top-two qualification, especially if Spain also take maximum points.

  • A Georgia upset would completely blow the group wide open.

  • For Bulgaria, this match feels more about pride than qualification hopes.

Final Betting Thoughts

  • Best Bet: BTTS in Georgia vs Turkey.

  • Value Bet: Spain to Win to Nil vs Bulgaria.

  • High-Risk, High-Reward: Correct score double of Georgia 1–2 Turkey & Bulgaria 0–3 Spain.

Wrap-Up

Today’s Group E fixtures present two very different stories: one’s a tricky, evenly matched fight in Tbilisi, the other a heavyweight mismatch in Sofia. Turkey can’t afford mistakes, while Spain will want to maintain momentum with a statement win.